Friday's Report on UK-Analyst.com is from GE&CR and is on Medusa Mining

709 Days ago (2010-02-26 16:54:22)

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26th February 2010

Analyst: Thomas Jones
thomas.jones@gecr.co.uk
020 7562 3371


 

Medusa Mining* - Interim Report Confirms Operational and Financial Success:  Long Term Buy

 

 

Key Data

 

EPIC

MML

 

Share Price

210p

 

Spread

208p – 212p

 

Total no of shares

170,381,960

 

Market Cap

£357 million

 

12 Month Range

59p – 239p

 

Market

AIM & ASX

 

Website

www.medusamining.com.au

 

Sector

Mining

 

Contact

Geoff Davis, Managing Director

Tel:+61 8 9367 0601

 

 

 

The release of its results for the 6 months to 31st December 2009, on 24th February, neatly summarised the tremendous progress being made at this rapidly growing gold miner.  The headline net profit after tax result of $28.3 million was inevitable after the company had enjoyed records in gold production, gold price and (low) operating costs.  As if that wasn’t enough, the company remains debt free and, with $35.5 million cash in the bank.

Operationally, production from Medusa’s Co-o mine was 39,162 ounces of gold in the 6 months to 31st December 2009, up from 20,018 ounces on the corresponding figure in 2008.  This production came at an average gold grade of 16.65 g/t (12.71 g/t in 2008) and, as economies of scale and a higher grade will often dictate, the average cash cost decreased by $36 per ounce from an already low $225 in 2008, to $189 per ounce in 2009.  Completing the trifecta, the average gold price received for its output increased to $1,047 per ounce, up $235 per ounce on the $812 averaged in 2008.  

Phase 2 of Medusa’s expansion programme, taking targeted annualised production from 60,000 ounces of gold to 100,000 ounces, is on target with the company raising its full year production level forecast (12 months to 30th June 2010) to 89,000 ounces at an average cash cost of $190 per ounce.  With the near-term expansion work at Co-O complete, Medusa’s attention now shifts to optimising current production and complementing Co-O’s output through the addition of new projects – Bananghilig, Kamarangan and Lingig for example.

Bananghilig, after the analysis of historical and recent drill data, produced an Inferred resource estimate of 15 million tonnes at an average grade of 1.3 g/t gold (0.6 g/t cut off) for 650,000 ounces of contained metal.  Cube Consulting Pty Ltd produced the estimate in August 2009, while Medusa is already planning to extend and upgrade the resource through step out and infill drilling as well as metallurgical, geotechnical and engineering studies to assess the sites suitability for a mine.

Lingig has been the subject of 6,400 metres of drilling since the 17th of March 2009.  Spread across 17 holes and 3 surface drill rigs, the highlights so far have been intersections of 267.3 metres at 0.62% copper and 224 metres at 0.77% copper.  All 3 rigs remain in operation as the company is keen to define the boundary and composition of the mineralization.

Financially, revenues increased by 161% to $41.3 million compared to the 6 months to 31st December 2008.  The company’s administrative expenses were kept flat at $1.4 million and, while the cost of sales doubled to $10.5 million, pre-tax profit leapt 250% to $28.3 million.  Medusa is still receiving income tax benefits from pre-production losses, although this appears to be nearing exhaustion, having declined from $1.4 million in 2008 to $51,859 this period.  Completing the impressive results was the 158% increase in earnings per share from $0.065 to $0.168.  As already mentioned, the company is highly liquid with no debt and $35.5 million, up from $26.5 million in 2008, cash and cash equivalents at 31st December 2009.

Medusa shares have had a tremendous run during the past 15 months, rising from 30p in excess of 230p in mid-November 2009.  This performance propelled the company into the S&P/ASX200 index in July 2009, and this has further added to the company’s attraction.  Medusa is a self funded operation and, with an increased exploration budget of $18 million, we expect the company to maintain the momentum built in 2009.  Long Term Buy.

 

 

 


  Forecasts Table:

Year to 30th June

Sales (A$m)

Pre-tax Profit (A$m)

Earnings Per Share (c)

Price Earnings Ratio

Dividends Per Share (c

Dividend Yield (%)

2008A

18.1

1.0

(0.9)

NA

0

0.0

2009A

57.3

35.8

25.0

16.8

0

0.0

2010E

95.0

60.0

25.0

16.8

0

0.0

2011E

100.0

65.0

27.0

15.8

0

0.0

 *Shares in this company are held in the SF t1ps smaller companies Gold and Growth funds which are managed by t1ps investment management  which is owned by Rivington Street Holdings, the owner of GE&CR. For details of the funds email spiros.kurtidis@t1ps.com.

 

 



This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by Medusa Mining*, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.

The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the GE&CR’ label. However the estimates and content of the reports are, in all cases those of T1ps.com Limited and not of the companies concerned.

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