Tuesday's report on UK-Analyst.com is from GE&CR and is on Vatukoula

189 Days ago (2010-03-02 10:33:19)

Print this Article

2nd March 2010

Analyst: Thomas Jones
thomas.jones@gecr.co.uk
020 7562 3371


 

Vatukoula Gold Mines * - Final Results sees Transitioning towards Profit and 100,000 Ounces pa: Buy with 4p Target

 

 

Key Data

 

EPIC

VGM

 

Share Price

2.3p

 

Spread

2.28p – 2.31p

 

Total no of shares

3,652,371,027

 

Market Cap

£84.0 million

 

12 Month Range

0.53p – 2.59p

 

Market

AIM

 

Website

www.vatukoulagoldmines.com

 

Sector

Mining

 

Contact

David Paxton, CEO

Tel: +44 (0)20 7016 7861

Final results for the 12 months to 31st of August 2009 were released on the 26th of February with the highlight being the booking of the company’s maiden gross profit of £1.4 million.  This profit came on the back of the company producing 33,757 ounces of gold, up 163% on the corresponding period in 2008, and at an average gold price of $881 per ounce.

As operations underground were at various times interrupted and expanded, Vatukoula began sourcing additional ore from an easily accessible low grade waste dump.  Believed to have in excess of 200,000 tonnes of material at a grade of 1.75 g/t gold, the company’s processing plant required minor modifications to accept the waste dump’s oxide ore.  Further in-situ oxide material has since been discovered at surface which the company will be treating in due course.

On the 10th June 2009 Vatukoula signed a memorandum-of-understanding with The Fijian Sugar Authority for the future purchase of power from their proposed Bagasse power project at the Rarawai Mill.   Alternative power sources are also being evaluated with the relevant authorities as Vatukoula seeks to augment, if not replace, its diesel powered electricity generators.

Revenue increased from £3.8 million in the 12 months to 31st August 2008 to £18.8 million for 2009.  With higher production and lower operating costs, the company generated its first gross profit of £1.4 million a marked improvement on the £0.6 million gross loss incurred in 2008.  However, this profit was eliminated by higher administrative (£3.1 million vs £1.3 million) and depreciation & amortisation costs (£3.9 million vs £0.8 million), a £2.7 million provision for doubtful debts and £1.1 million in share based payments, with the result being a pre tax loss of £10.0 million (loss of £4.1 million in 2008).  The loss per share rose by 43% to 0.43p from 0.30 in 2008.  Aside from a £0.51 million convertible loan, Vatukoula was debt free and held cash and cash equivalents of £1.09 million as at 31st August 2009 (£2.25 million at 31st August 2008).

Post balance sheet date, Vatukoula has been busy with further upgrades, updates and exploration.  The company embarked on a capital expenditure programme to acquire refurbished underground equipment including an additional five underground dump trucks and six underground loaders, more reliable power generating capacity and spare pumping capacity.  The programme, funded through the £11 million raised in September and October, is generating tangible results with not only higher production levels achieved, but lower operating costs through economies of scale. 

Meanwhile, an independent assessment of Vatukoula’s reserves and resources was carried out by AMC Consultants with the result being a decrease in total gold to 4.3 million ounces, but a greater understanding of, and confidence in, the resource. 

The company established a Social Assistance Trust to support previous employees of the Vatukoula mine unable to find work since its closure in December 2006.  Vatukoula will pay F$6 million (approximately £3 million) into the fund during the next 5 years and, in return, will receive various concessions and exemptions from the government. 

Finally a 10 hole exploration programme was initiated around the President Dyke, an historical surface mine site.

Vatukoula is targeting the production of 60,000 ounces of gold in the 2009/10 financial year, ahead of an annualised production rate of 100,000 ounces of gold by the beginning of 2011.  Cash costs for 2009/10 are expected to be between $550 and $600 per ounce, while long term, with the implementation of alternative power sources and higher total output, we expect cash costs to continue trending down.  Management has done a commendable job of modernising the Vatukoula gold mine, but are under no illusions as to the work ahead.  We retain our confidence in the company’s ability to deliver on its goals and thus reiterate our stance of speculative buy with 4p target price.

 

 

 
  
  Forecasts Table:

Year to 31st Aug

Sales (£’m)

Pre-tax Profit (£’m)

Earnings Per Share (p)

Price Earnings Ratio

Dividends Per Share (p)

Dividend Yield (%)

2008A

3.8

(4.1)

(0.30)

NA

0

0.0

2009A

18.8

(10.0)

(0.43)

NA

0

0.0

2010E

33.5

4.4

0.12

19.2

0

0.0

2011E

44.7

7.5

0.21

11.0

0

0.0

*This company is a corporate client of Bishopsgate Communications and/or Rivington Street Corporate Finance which, in Rivington Street Holdings (RSH), share a common ultimate owner with GE&CR. RSH also owns shares in this company and its shares are held in a fund managed by t1ps Investment Management, which is owned by RSH – for details of funds email spiros.kurtidis@t1ps.com. 

 



This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by Vatukoula Gold Mines*, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.

The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the GE&CR’ label. However the estimates and content of the reports are, in all cases those of T1ps.com Limited and not of the companies concerned.

This research report is for general guidance only and T1ps.com Limited cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Readers of this report should also be aware that because this research is not independent that there is no prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of it.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back all of the money you invested; You should also be aware that the past is not necessarily a guide to the future performance. Finally, some of the shares that are written about are “smaller company” shares and often the market in these shares is not particularly liquid which may result in significant trading spreads and sometimes may lead to difficulties in opening and/or closing positions. Before investing, readers should seek professional advice from a Financial Services Authorised stockbroker or financial adviser.

T1ps.com Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA Registration no. 192801) and can be contacted at 5-11 Worship Street, London, EC2A 2BH – email thomas.jones@gecr.co.uk – fax 020 7628 3815 – tel 020 7562 3371