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The Post February 2010 Golden Scenario By top chartist Zak Mir of Zaks-TA.com Is the gold boom over? It is certainly not as the charts below show. And for those who - like our esteemed leader Mr W - think that silver is an even better bet, the good news is that the silver chart looks even better. So to tie in with the late 2008 rebound on the daily chart of Gold (one year target $1,300), and the black 200 day moving average bear trap rebound on Silver (6 month target at $20), we have similar bounces off support in key Gold / Silver stocks.
In the case of Anglo American (AAL) it can be seen that there has been a rebound - the second in February, off a line of support from May 2009 at 2,275p. The implication is that the stock will at least retest its January resistance towards 3,000p over the next 2-3 months, especially while the 2009 uptrend line is not broken on a weekly close basis.
But the real excitement is with smaller caps... Medusa Mining (MML)* has already had its major 200 day moving average rebound at 156p to start February and has made significant progress over the past month. The shares currently remain a strong buy on any dips towards the blue 50 day moving average at 190p, with only a weekly close below this feature suggesting that the three month price target as high as an April 2009 resistance line projection of 300p plus will not be hit. ![]()
The start of 2010 saw Vatukoula Gold (VGM)* jump from the starting gate and the floor of a rising trend channel / 200 day moving average at just under 1.5p. Since then the near vertical takeoff for the stock has taken it to within striking distance of the 2009 price channel at 3p. This is the 4-6 week target while there is no break below the grey 20 day moving average at 2.25p. The longer the shares consolidate above this feature the greater the chance of a break of 3p to give a 2010 year end target as high as 5p - something which would be a spectacular achievement.
Rather like Anglo American, First Majestic (FR.TC)* - a Canadian silver play - has delivered February double bottom along a May 2009 support line currently running through $3.27. While above this number on a weekly close stop loss basis one would expect the shares to make decent progress towards retesting January resistance at $4.50 over the next 1 - 2 months. Indeed, only well below the 200 day moving average at $3.02 would even begin to suggest that First Majestic was not a solid technical buy.
There is a similar February double bottom for another Canadian silver play Great Panther Silver (GPR)* at the floor of a rising 2009 trend channel at 80c and above the black 200 day moving average at 72c. The implication is that while the 200 day line is not broken on a weekly close stop loss basis one would be looking for a swift one - two month retest of the May 2009 price channel top at $1.20.
*Vatukoula Gold and Medusa Mining are corporate clients of Rivington Street Holdings (RSH) the ultimate owner of UK-Analyst.com. Shares in Vatukoula Gold, First Majestic, Great Panther and Medusa Mining are held in the SF Smaller Companies Gold Fund managed by t1ps Investment Management, which is owned by RSH. Best Wishes, Zak Mir If you have any questions about investing in the SF t1ps Smaller Companies Gold Fund or if you want a simplified prospectus and an application form please contact our hotline NOW on 020 7562 3387 or email goldfund@t1ps.com |