Monday's bonus report on UK-Analyst is from GE&CR: Avanti Communications* Placing & Trading Update Comment - Reiterate ‘Buy’ at 484p

573 Days ago (2010-07-12 17:15:35)

Print this Article

http://www.unquoted-analyst.com/media/GECR/WorkImages/WebHeader.jpg

 

12th July 2010

Analyst: Steve Moore
Email:
steve.moore@t1ps.com
Tel:
07730 513490

Avanti Communications* Placing & Trading Update Comment - Reiterate ‘Buy’ at 484p

Key

Data

EPIC

AVN

Share Price

484p

Spread

480.25p – 487.75p

NMS

2,000

Total Number of issued shares

84,951,135

Market Cap

£411.2 million

12 Month Range

255p – 550p

Market

AIM

Website

www.avantiplc.com

Sector

Mobile Telecommunications

Contact

David Williams
Chief Executive
020 7749 1600

Avanti Communications*, the broadband satellite company, has today announced a placing (conditional, amongst other things, on shareholder approval at a General Meeting to be held on 28th July) of 16,279,070 new shares at 430p each with existing and new institutional shareholders to raise £70 million (before expenses). This is principally to enable the company to initiate the purchase of its third satellite, Hylas 3, “in order to take advantage of possible new business development opportunities”. We continue to believe the cash flows Avanti’s satellite operations are poised to start delivering remain far from discounted in the current share price and our stance remains buy.

The placing funds are to be primarily used to repay facilities of £32 million (£53 million including accrued interest and an early repayment discount) borrowed in order to finance Avanti’s Hylas 1 satellite – and necessary to be repaid in order to enable the company to advance its current Hylas 3 plans and a plan to re-domicile Hylas 2 satellite assets offshore which should generate significant tax savings. The strategy for Hylas 3 is to begin the procurement with a relatively small cost commitment with the aim of negotiating sufficient customer commitments to support long term financing. Given the demand the company has seen for Hylas 1 and 2 (it reports on the latter that the progress being made means it “is confident that it will be able to sell HYLAS 2 capacity within the expected timetable”), we regard this as a sound strategy.

The company added that “trading has been satisfactory in the financial year ending 30 June 2010 and performance is in line with market expectations” but did note that “although the satellite itself is expected to be ready on schedule, uncertainty surrounding the readiness of the new Soyuz launch pad in French Guyana has led to a scheduling risk”, with an estimated potential risk of delay of up to six weeks from the proposed end September launch. However, a potential such delay is insignificant in relation to the long-term cash flows Hylas 1 looks set to still soon be generating and directors John Brackenbury and Nigel Fox showed their continued confidence in the company, taking £34,400 and £5,000 more shares respectively in the placing – and Avanti is also intending to seek a move from AIM to the main market in due course.

We expect the use of the placing funds will prove highly value-accretive down the line and thus continue to regard a share price target of 1125p for Avanti shares as conservative. As we move towards the launch of Hylas 1, we continue to view the current share price as presenting an attractive opportunity to get on board what is a fast emerging intercontinental satellite player. At 484p, we continue to view shares in Avanti Communications as a compelling buy.

 

Forecasts Table

Year to 30

Turnover

Adj. Pre-tax

Adjusted

Price

Dividend

Dividend

June

(£million)

Profit

Earnings per

Earnings

Per Share

Yield

   

(£million)

Share (p)

Ratio (x)

(p)

(%)

2008A

5.92

(1.47)

(5.3)

NA

0.0

0.0

2009A

8.04

(1.13)

(4.1)

NA

0.0

0.0

2010E

7.00

(1.25)

(2.4)

NA

0.0

0.0

* The SF t1ps Smaller Companies Growth Fund, managed by a subsidiary of Rivington Street Holdings, the ultimate owner of GE&CR, owns shares in Avanti Communications.

 

This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by Avanti Communications, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.

The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the ‘GE&CR’ label. However the estimates and content of the reports are, in all cases those of T1ps.com Limited and not of the companies concerned.

This research report is for general guidance only and T1ps.com Limited cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Readers of this report should also be aware that because this research is not independent that there is no prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of it.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back all of the money you invested; You should also be aware that the past is not necessarily a guide to the future performance. Finally, some of the shares that are written about are smaller company shares and often the market in these shares is not particularly liquid which may result in significant trading spreads and sometimes may lead to difficulties in opening and/or closing positions. Before investing, readers should seek professional advice from a Financial Services Authorised stockbroker or financial adviser.

T1ps.com Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA Registration no. 192801) and can be contacted at 44 – 46 New Inn Yard, London, EC2A 3EY

email philip.morrish@gecr.co.uk - fax 020 7628 3815 – tel 020 7562 3362