Monday's report on UK-Analyst is from GE&CR:Access Intelligence – Reiterate Buy at 4.25p with 8.7p target

566 Days ago (2010-07-19 09:50:23)

Print this Article

http://www.unquoted-analyst.com/media/GECR/WorkImages/WebHeader.jpg

 

19th July 2010

Analyst: Philip Morrish
Email:
philip.morrish@gecr.co.uk
Tel:
020 7562 3362 

Access Intelligence - Interim Results Demonstrate Considerable Progress - Reiterate Buy at 4.25p with 8.7p target

Key

Data

EPIC

ACC

Share Price

4.25p

Spread

4.0p - 4.5p

Total no of shares

254,770,696

Market Cap

£ 10.83 million

12 Month Range

4.125p - 7.875p

Market

AIM

Website

www.accessintelligence.com

Sector

Compliance Software Solutions

Contact

Michael Jackson (Chairman)
Jeremy Hamer (FD)
020 7400 0485

Access Intelligence, the AIM listed supplier of compliance solutions via Software-as-a-Service ('SaaS') this morning released results for the six months ended 31 May 2010 that further confirmed its strategy is delivering. Indeed, the group's operating profit before exceptional items exceeded those of the whole of the last financial year. While recurring revenue increased 65% from £ 1.4 million to £ 2.4 million and now represents 57% of total revenues; total monthly revenue had reached £ 0.7 million by the end of May of which recurring revenues represented £ 0.435 million while monthly costs were around £ 0.6 million.

The results include initial 3-months from Cobent, which has strengthened the group's existing compliance and training solutions to the public sector while opening UK and global cross-selling opportunities within the highly regulated and compliant private sector including pharmaceuticals, financial services and retail. Access Intelligence also sold Wired-Gov to its management during May 2010 and its results have been eliminated from the reported results and the previous year's results have been restated to provide a clearer picture of underlying progress.

Turnover increased 63.7% from £ 2.543 million to £ 4.137 million, of which Cobent contributed £ 0.289 million. The growing proportion of recurring revenues helped restrain the growth in cost of sales to 21.9% or £ 1.596 million (2009: £ 1.309 million) and enabled the gross profit margin to expand 12.9 percentage points to 61.4%, which lifted the gross profit from £ 1.234 million to £ 2.541 million. Administrative expenses increased 76.2% from £ 1.065 million to £ 1.876 million due in large part to the integration of Cobent together with further group-wide investment in the private sector sales and marketing teams. Operating profit before exceptional costs (2010 Cobent acquisition cost of £ 0.120 million) increased 4-fold from £ 0.169 million to £ 0.668. Reported pretax profit increased from £ 0.170 million to £ 0.470 million despite net finance costs jumping to £ 0.78 million (2009 net finance income of £ 1,000). Basic earning per share increased from 0.12p to 0.22p despite the tax charge expanding from 8.8% or £ 0.15 million to £ 25.3% ( £ 0.119 million).

Table: Profit & Loss Account £ 000

6 months ended 31 May

2010

2009

% change

Revenue

4,137

2,543

63.7

Cost of sales

(1,596)

(1,309)

21.9

Gross profit

2,541

1,234

105.9

Margin

61.4%

48.0%

NA

Administrative expenses

(1,876)

(1,065)

76.2

Share based payments

(3)

0

 

Operating profit before acquisition costs

668

169

295.3

Margin

16.1%

6.6%

 

Acquisition costs

(120)

0

NA

Operating profit

548

169

224.3

Margin

13.2%

6.6%

 

Net finance

(78)

1

NA

Pretax profit

470

170

176.5

Margin

11.4%

6.7%

 

Taxation

(119)

(15)

693.3

Profit from continuing operations

351

155

126.5

Discontinued operations

106

29

265.5

Profit for period

457

184

148.4

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share (p)

0.22

0.12

83.3

Source: Company

The group's strategy to enhance shareholder value remains unchanged, i.e., organic growth supported through acquisition of compliance driven SaaS companies that deepen and extend opportunities both within the UK and internationally.

Despite the expectation that the public sector purse will shrink substantially over the coming months, Access Intelligence, like most public sector exposed businesses that demonstrably provide low cost solutions that enhance service efficiency, views the future with cautious optimism. The company's optimism stems from the successful organic and acquisitional development of its compliance/SaaS activities that have grown over the last 12-months from 55% of total revenues to 77%; last February's Cobent acquisition increasing private sector exposure and international opportunities. We have reviewed our earlier expectations and are edging back our sales expectations for 2010 from £ 9.6 million to £ 9.1 million and 2011 from £ 11.7 million to £ 10.7 million but maintaining our pretax profit and earnings per share forecasts.

We continue to value Access Intelligence using an Enterprise Value/EBITDA ('EV/EBITDA') methodology and with the shares trading at 4.25p, the financial year 2009 multiple would be 10.12 times. Therefore, if the shares were to trade on a similar EV/EBITDA multiple based on our maintained 2011 forecasts, the shares should be 8.7p; consequently, we continue to recommend the shares as a buy.

acc18072010.JPG

 

 

Forecasts Table

Year to 30th November

Sales
( £ 000)

Pre-tax Profit ( £ 000)

Earnings Per Share (p)

Price Earnings Ratio (x)

Dividend (p)

Yield (%)

2008A

3,967

(4,566)

(4.18)

NA

0.0

0.0

2009A

5,772

520

0.27

15.6

0.0

0.0

2010E

9,100

1,350

0.35

12.2

0.0

0.0

2011E

10,700

1,950

0.46

9.2

0.0

0.0

Source: Company and Growth Equities & Company Research

The SF t1ps Smaller Companies Growth Fund which is managed by a subsidiary of RSH, the ultimate owner of GE&CR, owns shares and loan notes in Access Intelligence.

 

 

This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by Access Intelligence, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.

The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the GE&CR' label. However the estimates and content of the reports are, in all cases those of T1ps.com Limited and not of the companies concerned.

This research report is for general guidance only and T1ps.com Limited cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Readers of this report should also be aware that because this research is not independent that there is no prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of it.

The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back all of the money you invested; You should also be aware that the past is not necessarily a guide to the future performance. Finally, some of the shares that are written about are smaller company shares and often the market in these shares is not particularly liquid which may result in significant trading spreads and sometimes may lead to difficulties in opening and/or closing positions. Before investing, readers should seek professional advice from a Financial Services Authorised stockbroker or financial adviser.

T1ps.com Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA Registration no. 192801) and can be contacted at 44 - 46 New Inn Yard, London, EC2A 3EY. 

email philip.morrish@gecr.co.uk - fax 020 7628 3815 - tel 020 7562 3362