|
Key Data
|
|
EPIC
|
RRR
|
|
Share Price
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2.075p
|
|
Spread
|
2p - 2.15p
|
|
Total no of Shares
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583.9 million
|
|
Market Cap
|
GBP12.3 million
|
|
Net Cash
|
GBP500,000 (est)
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12 Month Range
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0.95p - 2.73p
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Market
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AIM
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|
Website
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Sector
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Mining
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Contact
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Andrew Bell, Chairman
& CEO
Tel: +44 (0)20 7402
4580
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|
|
Having started with iron ore and manganese, and
added uranium, AIM listed mining investment
house Red Rock Resources has floated off these
original assets and settled on gold as its
investment of choice. While iron ore, uranium
and manganese still feature in the company's
portfolio as investments in associates, Red
Rock believes gold's scarcity and desirability
offers the best return for its shareholders.
Headlining Red Rock's portfolio of gold assets
are the Migori gold project in Kenya and the El
Limon mine in Colombia. Migori has 1.171
million ounces of gold currently defined with 2
million ounces targeted. El Limon is a narrow
vein deposit, so lacks a defined resource, but
the mine has been operational for 60 years and
Red Rock believes it can significantly improve
the currently inefficient operation.
23.18% owned Jupiter Mines is exploring for
iron ore in the Yilgarn region of Western
Australia, but is currently in the process of
acquiring a 49.9% stake in the 163 million
tonne Tshipi Kalahari manganese project in
South Africa. Resource Star (26.3% owned by Red
Rock) is focused on uranium in the Northern
Territory of Australia, while Cue Resources
(15.8%) is exploring for the same commodity in
Paraguay. Finally, a 35.2% stake in Kansai
Mining gives Red Rock exposure to diamonds and
gold in Venezuela and an indirect interest in
Migori.
Red Rock has a supportive shareholder base
which, along with careful financial management,
has allowed the company to remain debt free.
Our sum of the parts valuation generates an
initial target price of 6.1p, but with major
upside from Migori and El Limon in particular,
together with our own conservative assumptions,
this could be underselling the company. At
2.075p, buy with 6.1p target
price.
|
Year to 31st Dec
|
Sales ( GBPMillion)
|
Pre-tax Profit ( GBPMillion)
|
Earnings Per Share (p)
|
Price Earnings Ratio
|
Dividends Per Share (p)
|
Dividend Yield (%)
|
|
2008A
|
1.32
|
(0.15)
|
(0.06)
|
NA
|
0
|
0.0
|
|
2009A
|
0.65
|
(0.93)
|
(0.24)
|
NA
|
0
|
0.0
|
|
2010E
|
4.3
|
2.8
|
0.35
|
5.93
|
0
|
0.0
|
*RSH, the ultimate owner of GE&CR owns
shares in Red Rock Resources. The SF t1ps
Smaller Companies Gold Fund which is managed by
another RSH subsidiary also owns Red Rock
shares.
Background
Red Rock shares were listed on AIM in July 2005
with the company raising GBP476,000 at 2p with
the intention of developing a portfolio of iron
ore and manganese properties in Western
Australia and Tasmania. The following five
years has seen it raise money on a number of
occasions but, unlike many of AIM's mining
juniors, Red Rock now has a credible portfolio
of assets and is starting to realise value for
shareholders.
Red Rock's relationship with Jupiter Mines Ltd
began on the 22nd of May 2006 when it granted
Jupiter an option over its Mt Ida and Mt Hope
tenements in exchange for A$40,000 in cash and
an undertaking from Jupiter to spend at least
A$250,000 on exploration across the sites.
Since then Pallinghurst Resources Australia Ltd
has entered into an agreement with Red Rock
where the two would take a controlling interest
in Jupiter in exchange for a combination of
asset vending and cash. In July 2009 Jupiter
brought POSCO into the frame with a significant
placing of stock to the South Korean steel
producer, which was also granted an off-take
agreement to purchase up to 50% of Jupiter's
iron ore production. Finally in March 2010,
Jupiter announced that it was in negotiations
to buy a 49.9% interest in the South African
Tshipi Kalahari Manganese project in exchange
for 1,160,363,867 new shares.
In August 2007 Red Rock sold its wholly owned
Australian uranium exploration subsidiary Orion
Exploration Pty Ltd to Retail Star Limited for
a package worth A$1.5 million and comprising
ordinary shares, options and A, B and C
performance shares. Retail Star Limited changed
its name to Resource Star Limited in July 2008
as the company focused its activities on
exploration and mining.
On the 17th of August 2009, Red Rock acquired
its 15% stake in the Mid Migori Mining Company
Limited with an earn-in agreement to increase
this to 60% upon the production of a bankable
feasibility study (BFS) within 6 years of this
agreement. Total consideration for the 15%
stake was $350,000 cash and $375,000 worth of
Red Rock shares. At the time of acquisition Mid
Migori had already defined an Indicated
Resource of 1,171,000 ounces gold at its Migori
Gold prospect in Kenya. Kansai Mining
Corporation was the seller and is the owner of
the remaining shares in Mid Migori. Red Rock
also owns a direct interest in Kansai, having
acquired the rights to 35% of the issued shares
in 2009.
Red Rock's interest in Cue Resources came with
the acquisition of 9,898,000 shares on the 2nd
November 2009 in exchange for C$989,000 (
GBP565,000) in cash. The agreement also saw Red
Rock acquire 9,898,000 warrants convertible
into the same number of shares at a price of
C$0.15 on or before 1st November 2011.
The company's most recent investment was
announced on the 10th of June 2010 when it
entered into an agreement with Colombian gold
mining company Mineras Four Points SA. The
agreement saw Red Rock providing a $2 million
loan to Mineras in exchange for the provision
of consulting and technical support and two
options to acquire up to 51% of the Colombian
company. The loan, with $1 million already
drawn down and the remaining $1 million
expected to follow within 3 months, was made at
an interest rate of 5% per annum and is
repayable by the 30th June 2013. The
consultancy support service is for a minimum of
20 days a month and will provide Red Rock with
a total of $2.96 million in fees during the
length of the agreement (1st of September 2010
to the 30th June 2013). The first of the two
options is to acquire 50% of Mineras' shares
for $6.5 million within 2 years, while the
second expires in 3 years time and allows Red
Rock to acquire 1% of Mineras's shares for $1
million.
Operations
Jupiter Mines
Limited (23.18% or 5.35% if Tshipi
acquisition proceeds)
ASX listed Jupiter is currently involved with
iron ore, manganese and gold in Australia but,
with the purchase of a 49.9% stake in the South
African Tshipi Kalahari manganese project in
progress, Jupiter's value driver is likely to
shift continents. Jupiter has understandably
prioritised the Tshipi transaction, but has
also flagged its intention to fast track
exploration at its other projects in the
Central Yilgarn, Australia.
The Tshipi project is wholly owned by Tshipi e
Ntle Manganese Mining Limited, itself owned by
Ntsimbintle (50.1%) and Pallinghurst
Co-Investors (49.9%). Jupiter is set to acquire
Pallinghurst's entire 49.9% stake in exchange
for 1,160,363,867 new shares in Jupiter (valued
at A$245 million).
Tshipi is located in the Kalahari basin and
adjacent to Samancor's (BHP) Mamatwan mine
currently producing 3 million tonnes of
manganese ore per annum. Tshipi has a SAMREC
compliant resource estimate of 61.82 million
tonnes at 37.07% Manganese in the Indicated
category and 101.41 million tonnes at 37.11% in
the Inferred category. A feasibility study
estimated that $200 million in capital
expenditure was necessary to establish an open
cut operation producing 2 million tonnes of
lumpy manganese product each year for at least
28 years. Development of the mine is scheduled
to commence this year with production
anticipated by 2013.
Jupiter's other main asset is the Central
Yilgarn Iron project covering the Mt Mason, Mt
Hope, Mt Ida, Mt Alfred and Walling Rock
tenements in Western Australia. Of the 5
targets, only Mt Mason has a defined resource
(5.75 million tonnes at 59.9% iron), but both
Mt Ida (2,101 metres) and Mt Alfred (1,195
metres) have recently had RC drilling
completed, with follow up exploration planned.
At Mt Ida a conceptual resource of up to 1.3 bn
tons of high grade magnetite in a flat-lying
horizon with a low stripping ratio has been
identified for follow-up exploration, with the
object of declaring a Inferred or Indicated
Resource (Red Rock holds a 1.5% direct royalty
interest in this discovery).
Resource Star
Ltd (26.3%)
Having penned a deal with then ASX listed
Retail Star in August 2007 to transfer all of
Red Rocks uranium licences in the Northern
Territory of Australia in exchange for 24% of
Retail Star's capital, the two companies became
closely linked. Today the renamed Resource Star
has exploration assets in the Northern
Territory, Tasmania, Western Australia and
Malawi.
The wholly owned Edith River uranium project
and the joint ventured Machinga niobium-rare
earths project are the company's main assets
located in the Northern territory and Malawi
respectively. Edith River has a number of
historical uranium occurrences and Resource
Star has estimated a 40 kilometre strike length
after spot spectrometer readings averaged 295
ppm U3O8 at three historical sites. The company
recently flew in excess of 3,250 line
kilometres of detailed airborne geophysics over
its Northern Territory licences, refining its
existing targets and identifying new ones.
Mapping and sampling of these targets have
commenced, while follow up drilling is also
planned for later in the year.
Machinga is a joint venture with Globe Metals
& Mining which is currently earning a 20%
equity interest in the project through its
management and funding of the project's
exploration work. In addition, Globe can earn
up to 80% by funding all activity up to and
including a feasibility study. Thus far Globe
has identified three separate zones of
high-grade heavy rare earth oxide
mineralisation ranging in widths of 5-7 metres
and highlighted an intersection of 7 metres at
1.3% TREO (total rare earth oxides). Drilling
continues as the company looks to define a
deposit capable of supplying the strong demand
from Japanese motor vehicle manufacturers who
are currently seeking long term primary
supplies of dysprosium, an element used in
hybrid cars and found in high grades at
Machinga.
Cue
Resources (15.8%)
TSX-V listed Cue Resources holds 100% of the
rights to the Yuty uranium project in south
eastern Paraguay through its wholly owned
subsidiary Transandes Paraguay SA. The project
area covers 230,650 hectares and includes a
defined resource at San Antonio as well as a
number of other prospective targets.
In May 2009, Healex Consulting defined an
indicated resource of 9.0 million tonnes at an
average grade of 0.042% U3O8 (8.3 million
pounds of contained U3O8) and an inferred
resource of 1.1 million tonnes at 0.050% U3O8
(1.2 million pounds of contained U3O8) at the
San Antonio zone. Lab testing recovered up to
96.7% of the material, while column leach tests
using sulphuric acid recovered 86%. Healex
recommended that Cue performed additional test
work to confirm the deposit's capability to
host an in situ recovery method and expand the
resource through further resource drilling.
Further drilling was also recommended at the
area's other targets including Yarati-í,
San Miguel, Typychaty, Santa Barbara-San Pedro,
Yataity and Tapyta.
Cue is virtually debt free and has developed
strong relationships with senior political
figures in Paraguay. The company has a 20 year
exploration and exploitation licence and will
be announcing the next phase of its operations
shortly.
Mid-Migori Mining
Company Limited (15% with option to
increase to 60%)
The owner of the beneficial title and mining
rights to the Migori gold project in Kenya, Red
Rock is able to increase its stake to 60%
through the completion of a bankable
feasibility study within 6 years of the 14th of
August 2009 - the agreement signature date.
Migori's two contiguous special prospecting
licences of SP202 and SP122 cover 310.5 square
kilometres and together have a NI43-101
compliant Indicated Resource of 1,171,000
ounces of contained gold.
|
NI43-101 Indicated Resource
|
Ore (tonnes)
|
Gold Grade (g/t)
|
Contained Gold
(ounces)
|
|
Kakula-Kalange-Munya
|
22,000,000
|
1.0
|
679,000
|
|
Gori Maria
|
8,600,000
|
0.9
|
240,000
|
|
MK
|
1,444,000
|
2.32
|
108,000
|
|
Nyanza
|
842,000
|
5.32
|
144,000
|
|
TOTAL
|
32,886,000
|
1.0
|
1,171,000
|
In addition to the ore identified above, 67,000
ounces of gold has been estimated as existing
in the tailings of the closed Macalder mine. A
drill programme aimed at increasing the total
resource to 2 million ounces of gold was left
unfinished in 2007 after Presidential election
instability saw the drill company withdraw its
rigs.
Red Rock has been aggressively exploring the
Migori licence and recently announced pleasing
results from its hand grab sampling and
December 2009/January 2010 RC drilling
programme. 35 hand-grab samples were collected
from the underground artisanal workers at the
Macalder gossan with 12 samples returning 1 - 5
g/t gold, 14 samples 5-20 g/t gold and 1 sample
of 38.5 g/t gold. At the Macalder mine 38 holes
were drilled on a 50 metre x 50 metre spacing
with 191 sulphide samples returning average
grades of 1.56 g/t gold and in excess of 16.78
g/t silver, while the 156 calcine samples
returned average grades of 1.85 g/t gold and in
excess of 20 g/t silver.
Longer term, great potential is seen for
exploration of a greater variety of targets
including the boundary of the shear zone with
the banded iron formations. The succession of
multi-million ounce discoveries south of the
Tanzanian border, now mainly held by AngloGold
and Barrick, including Geita, Bulyanhulu, North
Mara, Golden Pride and Buzwagi has lessons for
future exploration approach at Migori, which
has at least equal potential.
Kansai Mining
Corporation (35.2%)
Currently suspended from trading on the TSX-V
due to the company's failure to file its
accounts, Kansai is involved in diamond and
gold projects in Venezuela and Kenya. Compania
Minera Adamantine CA is a wholly owned
subsidiary holding two diamond licences in
south west Venezuela. The Natal I and II
concessions cover a combined 6,368 hectares in
the Guaniamo diamond province and expire in
2013. The company is in good standing with the
Venezuelan Government and operates in a low
cost/high skilled operating environment.
Kansai's gold asset in Kenya is the remaining
stake in the Mid-Migori Mining Company. Having
negotiated Red Rock's farm-in in August 2009,
Kansai is now benefiting from the progress
brought about by its new partner's exploration
work.
An audit of its Kenyan asset has been
completed, but those in Venezuela are
outstanding. While the apparent lack of audit
urgency is frustrating, the stock still
represents value to Red Rock which is content
to maintain its investment for now.
Mineras Four
Points SA (options to acquire up to 51%)
Mineras owns the exploration and mining rights
to two properties in the north eastern
Colombian province of Antioquia. The El Limon
underground gold mine has been in production
for 60 years and is currently producing at an
average monthly rate of 15.3 kilograms of gold
(108 tons of ore), 420 metres below surface.
Mineras will use the proceeds of Red Rock's $2
million loan to upgrade the surface plant to
produce at an initial rate of 100 tons per day
(3,000 tons per month) and, with further
expansion and another ball mill, on to a rate
of 250 tons per day (7,600 tons per month).
Being a narrow vein deposit, the estimation of
a resource is impractical and thus Red Rock
plans to get a better idea of the resource
potential during the normal course of mining.
The vein has historically hosted 36-40 g/t
gold, and even with the relative inefficient
mining methods previously employed, has yielded
a head grade of 15 - 17 g/t. The implementation
of new techniques, better equipment and a
better trained workforce should see the head
grade increase to in excess of 20 g/t which, at
the initial 100 tpd target production rate
would see 70 ounces of gold produced per day
(60 kg per month).
Red Rock expects that the gradual upgrade of
machinery at El Limon will sequentially reveal
process bottlenecks, but the addition of
another ball mill will give the operation a
theoretical capacity of 250 tpd. With the $2
million loan being used as working capital, Red
Rock's optioned investment is being developed
without any obligations for Red Rock.
The second property is named La Aurora and has
a shaft sunk to 180 metres. With a transformer
and pump recently acquired, mine development
should begin shortly. Being a mere 30
kilometres south of El Limon, initial
production will be transported 30 kilometres
along the well maintained road for treatment.
Strategy
Red Rock's current strategy is to assist in the
management of exploration and bring in partners
to take projects forward as they prove
themselves. While the senior Red Rock team has
mining experience, Red Rock's financial and
staffing limitations mean day-to-day project
involvement is only feasible on easily
controlled projects where the management are
convinced risk is low and operations are within
their area of expertise. However, with Red Rock
being a major shareholder in each of its
investments, it does maintain a more active
involvement than would a pure financial
investor.
With a reputation as a company willing to take
the right risks if indeed these risks are
manageable and the rewards are appropriate, Red
Rock continues to be presented with potentially
interesting new projects and challenges. While
the company was satisfied to focus on
protecting the growth in shareholder value
expected to come from the maturing of its
existing portfolio, the Mineras Colombian
opportunity was exceptional and strategically
analogous, thus, despite its apparent
contentment, Red Rock is always willing to
entertain new opportunities.
As an asset trader, at some point in the future
Red Rock may have surplus capital and, in the
absence of a suitable destination, has flagged
the possible return of capital to shareholders.
However, while there remain investment
opportunities whose expected returns exceed the
cost of equity capital, Red Rock will continue
to invest.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Exciting commodity mix - while Red
Rock has repositioned itself as a gold company,
its exposure to other metals, including iron
ore and uranium, offers a degree of
diversification and a means of benefiting from
the global economic recovery and a possible
power supply solution respectively.
Diversity of Investments - Red Rock is
diversified in the resources its investments
are involved with, their stage of development
and the regions in which they operate. Gold,
diamonds, uranium, manganese and iron ore;
exploration, development and production;
Africa, Australasia and South America.
Diversification reduces risk and smooth
returns.
Gold focus - having repositioned
itself as a gold company, and with El Limon
already in production, Red Rock is well
positioned to benefit from the continued
strength in the gold price.
Debt free - while Red Rock makes its
cash work hard, it has avoided the use of debt
and thus remains unburdened by constant loan
repayments.
Weaknesses
Discount to NAV - investment companies
will rarely trade at a premium to their net
asset value and thus Red Rock's growth is tied
to the performance of its investments. With
minority holdings in each of its investments,
the company is only indirectly in control of
its short term performance.
Lack of majority ownership - Red Rock
only has an option to gain majority ownership
in its two gold investments and, while
significant shareholder status brings a degree
of influence, co-operation from other
shareholders is required to make real changes.
Co-operation is never guaranteed and thus
enacting change can be lengthy and frustrating
if possible at all (eg Kansai).
Reliance on external funding - while
the company reported a GBP2.3 million net
profit in the 6 months to 31st December 2009,
and the profitable trading of assets is in
theory an infinitely repeatable strategy, in
reality Red Rock remains reliant on external
funding.
Opportunities
El Limon production - currently
producing at a rate of 4 tons per day, Red Rock
expect its $2 million loan to provide the funds
necessary to increase this figure to 100 tpd in
the short term. Beyond this, the installation
of a new ball mill will provide the capacity to
increase production to 250tpd.
Migori resource upside - with 1.171
million ounces of gold already defined, Red
Rock is now targeting a 2 million ounce
resource. We would expect that the definition
of a 2 million ounce resource would then be the
catalyst for development, with work then
focusing on upgrading rather than expanding the
resource.
New geographical destination - having
now gained a foothold in South America through
its involvement with Mineras, Red Rock sees
this as a potential launch pad from which it
can increase its exposure in the continent.
Threats
Resource risk and economic discoveries
- common resource exploration / development
risks can only be mitigated with careful
planning and judicious research. Even before
the logistics of extraction occur, an explorer
bears the risk of not just finding valuable
material, but also whether mining that material
justifies its cost.
Overly committed - while
diversification is generally a good strategy in
reducing risk and increasing returns, it is
possible to have too much of a good thing and
find one's self spread too thinly to be able to
effectively manage the portfolio. While
multiple equity interests are more than
manageable for a small team, when a company
undertakes its own mining projects, it is easy
for the same team to get stretched beyond
comfort.
Other resource sector risks -
unfavourable changes to legislation, permitting
risk, social unrest and infrastructure capacity
are all examples of other threats experienced
throughout the resources sector.
Directors
Chairman - Andrew Bell, MA, LLB, FGS.
Having begun his career as a natural resource
analyst with Morgan Grenfell & Co, Bell
subsequently gained experience in fund
management, corporate advisory, corporate
finance and private equity. Based in London, he
is currently a director at Jupiter Mines Ltd
and chairman of Regency Mines plc and Greatland
Gold plc.
Director - Manoli Yannaghas, BA.
Currently a Non-executive Director on the
boards of a number of small companies,
Yannaghas is a former financial analyst and
former director of ASX-Listed Resource Star
Ltd. Having worked for the past 10 years in
various operational capacities within small and
medium sized businesses, Yannaghas is also
adept at team building, management, fund
raising and other corporate finance activities.
Non-executive Director - Michael Nott,
BSc, MSc, FIMMM, FIQ, FMES. CEO of private
company Magyar Mining and Managing Director of
Alba Mineral Resources plc, Nott has 34 years
of experience in geological, engineering and
management roles. Previous roles include a
decade with Roan Consolidated Mines as well as
several other mining companies in Zambia,
managing aggregate quarrying operations and
then senior roles with ARC Southern Ltd and
Hills Aggregates Ltd.
Non-executive Director - John Watkins,
FCA. Current chairman of PLUS listed mineral
explorer Lisungwe and director of AIM listed
Starvest and Regency Mines, Watkins is a
qualified chartered accountant and former
partner at Ernst & Young and Neville
Russell.
Non-executive Director - Robert
Weicker, BSc, PGeo. A 25 year veteran of the
mineral exploration and mining industry,
Weicker has experienced the whole resource
lifecycle from greenfield exploration to
production, and served as a director of several
TSX-listed companies. Previous appointments
were with Noranda and Lac Minerals in Canada,
where he became chief geologist of the latter's
Williams gold mine, before moving on to the
development of zinc and gold mines at other
Canadian companies.
Shareholders
Red Rock Resources currently has 583,908,812
ordinary shares in issue. Those shareholders
with a significant holding (3%+) are as
follows:
|
Name
|
Shares
|
Percentage
|
|
Regency Mines Plc
|
141,598,000
|
23.64%
|
|
TD Waterhouse Nominees (Europe) Ltd
|
53,578,396
|
8.95%
|
|
Barclayshare Nominees Ltd
|
39,463,913
|
6.59%
|
|
HSDL Nominees Ltd
|
37,999,933
|
6.34%
|
|
Hargreaves Lansdown Nominees Ltd
|
28,031,527
|
4.68%
|
|
LR Nominees Ltd
|
24,000,617
|
4.01%
|
|
Rock Nominees Ltd
|
19,239,974
|
3.21%
|
|
Share Nominees Ltd
|
18,389,116
|
3.07%
|
|
Sunvest Corporation Ltd
|
18,037,500
|
3.01%
|
Red Rock also has a number of options In Issue
with 5 million exercisable at 3.5p before 11th
May 2012, 7.5 million exercisable at 1.25p
before 31st May 2011, and 10 million
exercisable at 1.1p before 3 June 2014.
Valuation
Our valuation of Red Rock is based on a sum of
the parts model comprising market valuations of
its stakes in Jupiter Mines, Resource Star, Cue
Resources and Kansai Mining, a risk weighted
in-situ valuation of the Migori Gold Project
and an operating valuation of Mineras' El Limon
mine. Throughout our valuation, our exchange
rate assumptions are AUD/GBP $1.70, USD/GBP
$1.30 and CAD/GBP $1.50.
Beginning with Red Rock's shares in Jupiter,
Resource Star, Cue Resources and Kansai, using
each company's recent share prices (although
Cue's price is the C$0.10 it last placed funds
at before its delisting) and multiplying by the
number of shares held in each, we value Jupiter
(pre Tshipi acquisition) at GBP13.4 million,
Resource Star at GBP0.47 million, Cue at
GBP0.43 million and Kansai at GBP2.6 million.
Migori's 1.171 million ounce resource is valued
at GBP6.97 million after attributing a $1,000
per ounce gold price, 2% in-situ value and
deducting an estimated $5 million in cost for
the BFS necessary to take Red Rock's interest
to 60%.
Finally, our valuation of Mineras is based on
conservative assumptions about the operation at
El Limon. In the absence of a resource
estimate, we have assumed a 3 year mine life.
Further assumptions are that Red Rock exercises
its options to acquire 51% of the company for
$7.5 million, that production is a flat 100 tpd
with 20 g/t head grade and that operating costs
are $350 per ounce of gold (the operation has
operated at $300 - $330 /oz in the past). At a
gold price of $1,000 / oz Red Rock's 51% share
of cash flows would be $8.5 million per annum.
Adding consultancy fees of $2.96 million (split
$0.8 million, $1.08 million and $1.08 million
in each of the 3 years) and discounting by 12%
per annum, we value Red Rock's expected 51%
interest in Mineras/El Limon at GBP11.8
million.
Combining our valuations of Red Rock's
investments and dividing by the 583.9 million
shares in issue we arrive at a target price of
6.1p per share. Major upside comes from any
number of factors increasing gold output at El
Limon (eg higher head grade, increased mining
rate, mine life greater than 3 years), a larger
and upgraded resource at Migori and increased
share values for each of the other investments.
Red Rock's current share price is backed by the
market value of its stake in Jupiter alone so
in essence, the remaining portfolio is a bonus.
These 'bonus' assets have tremendous upside and
while their worth might be hidden by their
inclusion in a wider portfolio, Red Rock has no
end of options to realise their value. At
2.075p, buy with target price
of 6.1p.
|
Year to 31st Dec
|
Sales ( GBPMillion)
|
Pre-tax Profit ( GBPMillion)
|
Earnings Per Share (p)
|
Price Earnings Ratio
|
Dividends Per Share (p)
|
Dividend Yield (%)
|
|
2008A
|
1.32
|
(0.15)
|
(0.06)
|
NA
|
0
|
0.0
|
|
2009A
|
0.65
|
(0.93)
|
(0.24)
|
NA
|
0
|
0.0
|
|
2010E
|
4.3
|
2.8
|
0.35
|
5.93
|
0
|
0.0
|
*RSH, the ultimate owner of
GE&CR owns shares in Red Rock Resources.
The SF t1ps Smaller Companies Gold Fund which
is managed by another RSH subsidiary also owns
Red Rock shares.
|