Tuesday's report on UK-Analyst is from GE&CR: Metals Exploration - Takeover Offer of 13p Per Share

558 Days ago (2010-07-27 15:34:57)

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27th July 2010
Analyst: Thomas Jones
Email:
thomas.jones@gecr.co.uk
Tel:
0207 562 3371

Metals Exploration - Takeover Offer of 13p Per Share

Key Data

EPIC

MTL

Share Price

12.875p

Spread

12.75p - 13p

Total no of Shares

269.7 million

Market Cap

GBP34.7 million

Net Cash

GBP2 million (est)

12 Month Range

10.25p - 24.25p

Market

AIM

Website

www.metalsexploration.com

Sector

Mining

Contact

Jonathan Beardsworth, Managing Director

Tel: +44 (0)20 7963 9540

On the 23rd of July, 44.10% shareholder Solomon Capital Limited made an all cash offer for the remaining issued share capital of Metals Exploration. Compared to the closing price of the company's shares on the 22nd of July (10.25p), Solomon's 13p per share offer represents a 26.8% premium and values the company at GBP35.76 million.

Solomon is a private company incorporated in Guernsey for the purposes of investing in Metals Exploration. The company is wholly owned by well known property developer Christian Candy, and has long been a supporter of Metals Exploration. Currently holding 118,935,655 shares (44.10%), Solomon has also received letters of intent to accept its offer from a further 24,343,903 shares (9.03%), giving it control of 53.12% of Metals Exploration's issued share capital.

Solomon has stated in its offer document that it intends to continue to work with Metals Exploration's existing management who are currently in the process of arranging finance for the development of its Runruno mine in the Philippines. As stated in the feasibility study released on the 4th of May 2010, the Runruno project's capital cost is estimated at $149.3 million.

Runruno has a JORC-compliant resource of 25.4 million tonnes containing 1.42 million ounces of gold (average grade of 1.74 g/t) and 25.6 million pounds of molybdenum (457ppm). The May 2010 feasibility study specified a 12.2 million tonne per annum open pit operation producing an average of 96,700 ounces of gold (101,800 ounces in years 1-5, 92,700 ounces in years 6-10) for 10 years. The basic operation excludes a molybdenum circuit as test work continues, but capital costs on a gold operation were estimated at $149.3 million with operating costs estimated at $477 per ounce of gold. The inclusion of a molybdenum circuit producing 900,000 pounds per annum and generating credits of $15 per pound, would see operating costs fall below $400 per ounce of gold.

The Metals Exploration share price was hit hard after the resource downgrade in November 2009, and despite recent a series of positive announcements such as the award of the Environmental Compliance Certificate; the award of the Financial or Technical Assistance Agreement (the final major permit necessary before production) and completion of the Runruno Definitive Feasibility Study the shares have continued to trade at a low price.

The lack of value assigned to the Company in the market created ideal conditions for the offer from Solomon Capital. Metals Exploration is yet to respond to the offer but will do in due course.

As a result of Solomon's 53.12% control of the shareholding and with no known potential counter bidder to improve on Candy's cheap offer, we withdraw our recommendation and target price on the company.

 

Year to 31st Dec

Sales (GBP Million)

Pre-tax Profit (GBP Million)

Earnings Per Share (p)

Price Earnings Ratio

Dividends Per Share (p)

Dividend Yield (%)

2008A#

0
(3.3)
(1.24)

NA

0

0.0

2009A^

0
(0.5)
(0.44)

NA

0

0.0

2009A
0
(4.3)
(1.87)
NA
0
0.0
2010E
0
(5.0)
(1.9)
NA
0
0.0

2011E

0
(6.0)
(2.2)

NA

0

0.0

# 12 months to 30th September
^ 3 months

 

This research note cannot be regarded as impartial as GE&CR has been commissioned to produce it by Metals Exploration, it should be regarded as a marketing communication.

The information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but cannot be guaranteed. Growth Equity & Company Research is owned by T1ps.com Limited which is commissioned to produce research material under the GE&CR label. However the estimates and content of the reports are, in all cases those of T1ps.com Limited and not of the companies concerned.

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email thomas.jones@gecr.co.uk - fax 020 7628 3815 tel 0207 562 3371