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The Markets
The London markets finished the week in style,
as better than expected UK services data and
strong employment figures from the US pushed
shares markedly higher. The UK services
Purchasing Managers'
Index rose from 54 to 56 in
January, suggesting the sector grew at its
fastest rate in ten months. As services account
for 70% of UK GDP, the data is sure to reduce
growing fears that the economy is heading for a
double-dip recession. Across the pond, new farm
payrolls once against smashed expectations as
the US created a further 243,000 jobs in
January, 100,000 more than anticipated, leaving
analysts red-faced. In other news, Sir Philip
Hampton, chairman of 82% taxpayer owned
Royal
Bank of Scotland slammed
bankers' pay, saying it had been too high for
too long. Despite this, he defended Stephen
Hester's 1 million pound bonus, arguing the
bank needed to pay competitive salaries to
retain the "best people".
At the London close the Dow Jones was
up by 144.64 points at 12,850.05 and the
Nasdaq was up
by 30.54 points at 2,526.37.
In London the
FTSE
100 gained 105.00 points to
5,901.07; the
FTSE
250 finished 148.64 points
ahead at 11,235.15; the
FTSE
All-Share climbed by 51.91
points to 3,047.42; and the
FTSE AIM Index rose by 5.19
points to 780.43.
Broker Notes
Recently formed N+1 Brewin (formerly Brewin
Dolphin) raised its recommendation for
Vitec
(VTC)
from "hold" to "buy" with an increased target
price of 670p, from 560p. The broker said that
the video equipment developer's shares have
lagged behind the recent market rally, which it
believes is unfair given the improved economic
climate. N+1 Brewin approves of the group's
exposure to the US, which accounts for around
50% of sales, and believes that the Olympics
will boost sales of its products. Vitec shares
grew 13p to 575p.
Shore Capital reiterated its "buy" rating for
Serco
(SRP),
impressed by the services firm's order book,
which stood at 16.7 billion pounds as at 10th
August 2011. The broker also expects to see
synergies from the June 2011 acquisition of
outsourcing group Intelenet for 395 million
pounds, including improving underlying profit
margins. Shore Capital forecasts earnings per
share of 42.7p for 2012, putting the shares on
a prospective multiple of 12.3 times. The
shares rose 10p to 524p.
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Daniel Stewart maintained its "buy" stance on
Playtech
(PTEC),
with a 462p target price. The broker believes
that the gaming software developer's size will
allow it to thrive as global gambling markets
regulate, while smaller companies may fall by
the wayside. Additionally, Daniel Stewart noted
the group's ongoing consolidation programme,
and with 137 million euros of cash at the end
of the year ended 31st December 2011, the
broker believes the company is well positioned
to make further acquisitions. Shares in
Playtech inched up by 1.75p to 310.5p.
Panmure Gordon kept its "buy" recommendation
for Spirent
Communications (SPT)
with a target price of 156p. The telecoms
tester is expected to see increased demand for
its services as customers develop their 4G
networks, said the broker. With a large number
of competing technology companies, Panmure
Gordon believes it is difficult to pick a
winner, but with Spirent servicing a wide range
of clients and types of technology the broker
stated that its success is not dependent on any
one provider. The shares edge up by 1p to
131.2p.
Blue-Chips
Shares in Admiral
(ADM)
jumped by 76p to 1,038p after it reported that
it had extended its car reinsurance
partnerships with Hannover Re, Mapfre Re, New
Re and Swiss Re in the UK until 2014, with
unchanged terms of agreement. These deals come
on top of its existing agreement with Munich
Re, which covers 40% of the UK business and
lasts until 2016. However, Shore Capital
remained more concerned over losses from bodily
injury cover, and with the shares trading on an
earning multiple of around 12 times, the broker
reiterated its "sell" recommendation.
Telecommunications group BT (BT.A)
announced a 5% fall in sales over the three
months ended 31st December to 4.8 billion
pounds, but adjusted pre-tax profits rose 18%
to 0.63 billion pounds beating research house
Jefferies' forecast by 6.3%. The company
enjoyed a number of contract wins, 50% coming
from Asia Pacific and Latin America and
continued its super-fast broadband roll out
across the UK, brining it within reach of 7
million homes and businesses. The shares
advanced by 8.1p to 214p.
Tullow
Oil (TLW)
signed two product sharing agreements with the
Government of Uganda, covering the EA-1 and
Kanywataba licences at the Lake Albert Rift
Basin. The deal will allow the oil and gas
company to farm out the development to China
National Offshore Oil Corporation and
Total
(TTA).
It is believed that the basin could contain
between 6 and 10 billion barrels of oil. Shares
in Tullow swelled 22p to 1,462p.
Mid-Caps
Electrocomponents
(ECM)
reported year-on-year revenue growth of 4% for
the four months ended 31st January 2012, with
international growth of 5% compensating for a
subdued UK performance of just 1%. The group
attributed its international improvement to its
scale allowing it to provide a wider range of
products than its smaller competitors. However,
the electronics distributor saw subdued trading
conditions in January, with overall growth
slowing to just 1%, with a flat UK performance.
The shares slipped 1.9p to 232.2p.
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Banking software developer Misys
(MSY)
confirmed that it is in discussions with Swiss
peer Temenos for a possible merger. The news
follows the breakdown of talks with Fidelity
National Information Services in August 2011.
Merchant Securities believes that the talks are
an act of desperation by the company as it
struggles to cope with poor market conditions.
The broker reiterated its "sell"
recommendation, with a 220p target price.
Shares in Misys climbed by 4p to 329.5p.
Investec
(INVP)
said that despite seeing continued net inflows,
like-for-like assets under management declined
5.9% over the nine months ended 31st December
to 83.7 billion pounds. However the specialist
banking group's acquisition of financial
services company Evolution in September
resulted in a total increase of 1.9% to 90.6
billion pounds. The firm also noted that
operating income rose 4.6%, including a 16.3%
rise in net fees and commissions. The shares
crept up by 0.8p to 402.9p.
Small Caps, AIM and PLUS
Vane
Minerals (VANE)
shares climbed 0.1p to 1.175p on news it has
encountered a mineralised copper, molybdenum
and zinc porphyry system at the McGhee Peak
project in New Mexico, US. Drilling identified
two targets located approximately one mile
apart, intercepting grades of up to 600ppm
copper and 200ppm zinc. Further drilling is now
to take place at the prospect to decipher the
commercial viability of establishing a mine.
Moving on to precious metals, gold exploration
firm Condor
Resources (CNR)
uncovered further high grade gold intercepts on
the India-California structure at the La India
project in Nicaragua. The gold structure
reportedly stretches the 25 metre distance
between the India and California veins,
providing gold grades of up to 6.95g/t at a
depth of just four metres. The findings add
credibility to the potential for open pit
mining. Condor Resources shares rose 0.25p to
6.75p.
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Recruitment and outsourcing firm
Network
Group Holdings (NGH)
announced it had agreed on the terms of a
recommended cash offer from NGH Topco, of 26p
per share. The bid comes at premium of 40.5% to
the pre-offer closing price and values the
company at approximately 19.6 million pounds.
NGH Topco is a private company created for the
sole purpose of acquiring shares in Network and
temporary staff provider Pertemps. Network
shares surged 7p to 25.5p.
Environmental Support Services group
Silverdell
(SID)
announced it has been awarded a number of
contracts across the UK with a combined value
of 3.6 million pounds. The firm will carry out
hazardous waste management consultancy with a
two separate companies in the north of England,
and had also signed a 5-year 450,000 pound per
annum contract with a housing sector client in
the south-west to carry out asbestos
remediation. Silverdell shares gained 0.75p to
close at 11.875p.
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Shares in GAME Group
(GMG)
surged 1.325p to 6.625p as the board confirmed
the company was likely to meet its covenant
tests for the period to 31st January 2012. The
group also said it had concluded discussions
with its lending syndicate and agreed revised
terms for its facilities. Broker Singer Capital
has doubled its forecasted loss for the year
ended January to 30 million pounds following
the firm's Christmas trading statement, and now
has a 1p target price on the shares.
Finally, the board of PLUS Markets
Group (PMK)
is to commence a formal sale process of the
company, after coming to the conclusion that
finding a partner company would allow it to
better achieve its objective to become an
internationally recognised investment exchange.
Management believe the firm is well positioned
strategically to exploit the opportunities
presented by recent changes in the regulatory
and technological environment. The shares fell
0.15p to 0.975p, valuing the company at just
3.79 million pounds.
The
Week Ahead
Next week we look forward to full year results
from aerospace and automobile company
Rolls-Royce
(RR.),
oil and gas giant BP
(BP.)
and pharmaceutical developer
GlaxoSmithKline
(GSK),
which reported mixed data over its long drug
Relovair in January. Miner Rio Tinto
(RIO)
will also issue its final results and it will
be looking to deliver a strong performance
while it is threatened to be overtaken as the
UK's largest mining company as merger talks
between Xstrata
(XTA)
and Glencore
International (GLEN)
continue. The discussions are reminiscent of
the BHP
Billiton (BLT)
merger of 2001 and coincidentally the natural
resource company will be issuing its interim
results next week.
We will also hear half year results from after
school activity group Stagecoach Theatre
Arts (STA),
drinks maker Diageo
(DGE)
and precious metal explorer
Aquarius
Platinum (AQP),
which suffered a disappointing second quarter.
There will also be interim management
statements from online gambling group
888
Holdings (888),
fashion retailer Supergroup
(SGP)
and debt ridden package holiday group
Thomas
Cook (TCG).